Uranium Energy · UEC
Uranium Energy's 157% output jump left the year's second half only 0.5% above the first
Uranium Energy delivered the production recovery it guided for, but the year's pounds were flat across halves, the company has no formal FY27 guidance, and next quarter's output is the clearest test.
Published · Updated · Inve Research Desk
0.5%
second-half over first-half output, by our arithmetic
The 157% jump in the last quarter was measured from the year's weakest quarter; across the year the ramp the company talked about in March barely showed.
How they did last quarter
Met the direction it set in June, but across the year the second-half weighting it described in March barely showed.
- Fourth-quarter production82,744 lb, 157% above the quarter beforevs June 2026 guidance: "we anticipate increased production rates in the fourth fiscal quarter"Met, but the comparison base was the weakest quarter of the year.
- Christensen total cost per pound$35.63, the company's non-GAAP measure, down from $54.61 in the quarter beforevs June 2026 guidance: "we expect cost per pound to improve"Met, though it is back to about where the year began ($34.35 in the first quarter).
- Second half against first half114,939 lb against 114,355 lb, 0.5% more by our arithmeticvs March 2026 guidance: production "weighted towards the second half of the fiscal year"Met only barely, and only because a new mine added pounds in the last quarter.
- Latest uranium saleabout $85.25 a lb by our arithmeticvs the $101 a lb sale reported in March 2026Fourth-quarter sales averaged 15.6% below the $101 sale reported in March, by our arithmetic.
The 157% is measured from the weakest quarter
In the July 2026 quarter Uranium Energy Corp. produced 82,744 lb of uranium, 157% more than the quarter before. Management led with that figure, and it is accurate. It is also measured from the lowest point of the year, so it says little about where the year as a whole landed.
In March the company said production would be weighted to the second half and increasingly to the fourth quarter. The second half did come in higher, but by 0.5%, by our arithmetic. Even that gain exists because Burke Hollow, a new mine in Texas, supplied part of the last quarter's pounds. Christensen Ranch, the older mine, finished the year 4.7% below its first quarter.
Cost came back, which is what the company said
In June management said it expected cost per pound to improve. At Christensen Ranch, total cost per pound, the company's non-GAAP measure, fell to $35.63 in the fourth quarter from $54.61 in the third. That is roughly where the year began, not better. The guidance was met, and the improvement is a return to the starting line.
Capacity is built, but regulators set the start date
Five finished header houses were waiting at the end of July for regulatory approval to start up. Four won final approval on 28 September. All five were finished by the end of July at the latest, and one had been awaiting approval since March, so the wait was at least two months and longer for some. One house is still awaiting approval.
That leaves next year hard to hold anyone to. On the call chief executive Amir Adnani said: "At this point, as you know, we don't have formal guidance, and I'll be direct about that as we've been before." On the call and in the release, we found no FY27 production figure.
Financing, not sales, has paid for the business
Cash stood at $495.5 million at 31 July. Over FY26 operations used cash while financing brought in $526.9 million, and the company says it has no debt.
The fourth-quarter sales look to have cleared lower. By our arithmetic they averaged about $85.25 a lb, below the $101 a lb sale reported in March.
Sales and operating profit, last eight quarters
Operating losses ran every quarter while sales arrived in lumps: the business is funded by raised capital, not by selling uranium.
$ million
| Sales | Operating profit | |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2024 | 17.1 | −13.2 |
| Jan 2025 | 49.8 | −3.6 |
| Apr 2025 | 0.0 | −23.5 |
| Jul 2025 | 0.0 | −33.0 |
| Oct 2025 | 0.0 | −29.8 |
| Jan 2026 | 20.2 | −23.6 |
| Apr 2026 | 0.0 | −40.8 |
| Jul 2026 | 17.1 | −39.0 |
Operating and financing cash flow, last three years
Operations used cash while financing brought in far more: the cash pile came from financing, and the company reports no debt; the gap widened in FY26.
$ million
| Operating cash flow | Financing cash flow | |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 2024 | −107 | 173 |
| Jul 2025 | −65 | 285 |
| Jul 2026 | −99 | 527 |
The next quarter's pounds are now the test
Four houses can now start up, and the company expects production in the coming weeks. The next quarterly results should show whether they lift output above the pounds just reported. We don't know yet whether regulators will keep pace with the houses still being built. With no guidance to be measured against, the clearest test is the pounds themselves.
The record: notes, full financial tables
Notes
Impact 4/5 Guidance Mixed
Uranium Energy output up 157% on Q3, but second half only 0.5% above first
Fourth-quarter output reached 82,744 lb, 157% above the quarter before, and total cost per pound at Christensen Ranch (the company's non-GAAP measure) fell to $35.63 from $54.61. In March the company said production would be weighted to the second half, increasingly to the fourth quarter. By our arithmetic the second half of FY26 (114,939 lb) beat the first (114,355 lb) by 0.5%, helped by 17,352 lb from the new Burke Hollow mine. In June management said it anticipated increased production rates in the fourth fiscal quarter and expected cost per pound to improve; both happened.
“fourth quarter production rose 157%. Total cost per pound fell by 33%.”— Amir Adnani, Founder and CEO
Impact 4/5 Risk Mixed
Uranium Energy gives no FY27 guidance; four header houses approved 28 September
Management said it has no formal guidance for FY27 output, because the timing of regulatory approvals is the variable. Four of the five header houses that were finished and awaiting approval at the 31 July year-end won final approval on 28 September; one had been awaiting approval since March. One house is still awaiting approval and three are under construction.
“At this point, as you know, we don't have formal guidance, and I'll be direct about that as we've been before.”— Amir Adnani, Founder and CEO
Impact 3/5 Demand Mixed
Uranium Energy open to utility term contracts; latest sale about $85 a lb
An executive said the company would not rule out signing long-term utility contracts in the coming months, with proposals that carry no price caps and no discounts. By our arithmetic fourth-quarter sales averaged about $85.25 a lb ($17.05 million for 200,000 lb, the volume inferred from the year's 400,000 lb), 15.6% below the $101 sale reported in March. Inventory of 1,256,000 lb is 3.1 times the 400,000 lb sold in FY26, in pounds by our arithmetic.
“I wouldn't rule out that we'll be successful in the coming months, signing some long-term contracts with utilities”— Scott Melbye, Executive Vice President
Impact 3/5 Demand Positive
US request sizes demand at 4 million lb a year from 2030; Uranium Energy made 229,294
Management pointed to a US government request for information seeking 4 million lb of uranium oxide a year of unobligated US-origin supply, with deliveries as early as 2030. By our arithmetic that is 17.4 times the 229,294 lb the company produced in FY26, and 12.1 times the fourth quarter annualised. Adnani said on the call that, until this request, there was no number to point to for government demand. The request is not a contract, price or award; an executive described it as the first step before formal requests for proposals. It is the whole stated need, not the company's share.
“And so now you've got a number, 4 million pounds per year, starting in 2030.”— Amir Adnani, Founder and CEO
Impact 3/5 Capex Mixed
Uranium Energy ties its conversion plant decision to a mid-2027 cost estimate
Management said no final investment decision on a uranium conversion plant is expected until a cost estimate with Fluor is complete in mid-2027. In June it had put that study in the first half of calendar 2027; the 9 June call did not tie the study to an investment decision. Cash was $495.5 million at 31 July 2026, against $148.9 million a year earlier, after FY26 financing of $526.9 million.
“we would not expect the final investment decision until that's complete.”— Brent Berg, Senior Vice President of U.S. Operations
Financials
Income statement, last 8 quarters
| Quarter end | Sales | YoY | Operating profit | Op. margin | PBT | Net profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | 17.1 | – | −39.0 | −228.1% | −62.0 | −60.7 |
| Apr 2026 | 0.0 | – | −40.8 | – | −52.9 | −52.3 |
| Jan 2026 | 20.2 | −59.4% | −23.6 | −116.8% | −13.9 | −13.9 |
| Oct 2025 | 0.0 | −100.0% | −29.8 | – | −11.0 | −10.3 |
| Jul 2025 | 0.0 | – | −33.0 | – | −27.5 | −27.1 |
| Apr 2025 | 0.0 | – | −23.5 | – | −29.8 | −30.2 |
| Jan 2025 | 49.8 | +49700.0% | −3.6 | −7.2% | −11.7 | −10.2 |
| Oct 2024 | 17.1 | +17000.0% | −13.2 | −77.2% | −21.5 | −20.2 |
Balance sheet
| As of | Equity | Cash | Fixed assets | Total assets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | 1,375 | 496 | 72.3 | 1,511 |
| Apr 2026 | 1,422 | 488 | 70.4 | 1,538 |
| Jan 2026 | 1,413 | 486 | 68.3 | 1,533 |
| Oct 2025 | 1,313 | 455 | 67.8 | 1,429 |
Cash flow
| Year end | Operating | Investing | Financing | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | −99 | −89 | 527 | −107 |
| Jul 2025 | −65 | −157 | 285 | −70 |
| Jul 2024 | −107 | −25 | 173 | −109 |
| Jul 2023 | 73 | −125 | 65 | 72 |